Preparing for a (potential) market selloff (2)
波动性会暂时退却,但总会再次来临。这一次应该也不远了。无论阴晴圆缺,投资者的自我修养就是要“每日三省吾身”,即便在最气贯长虹的大牛市里也要准备好30%-50%的回撤。
进一步的,你必须假设自己身处那样级别的回撤中(至于回撤原因并不是最重要的),然后问自己这些问题:
1. Do I have enough cash?
2. Can I stomach a paper loss of portfolio value that at my age may never recover?
3. Are the dividends I am receiving safe, and reliable from my own research?
4. Am I invested in quality companies that can continue to make money and pay dividends?
5. Do I need to SELL any underlying asset to sleep better at night and to preserve needed capital?
6. Have I misled myself into believing that I can withstand a severe decline?
7. Do I know why I am invested and am I sure about it?
如果回答不了这些问题的话,就必须坚决减仓了。